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Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: May 5 Update

Published on 9 Comments on Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: May 5 Update

The US death rate from COVID-19 has been stubbornly stuck at about 700 per day for the past few weeks, but our confirmed case count began to fall in absolute terms in mid-April. This should mean that our death rate will begin to drop soon. We'll see.

Here’s the officially reported coronavirus death toll through May 5. The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.

9 thoughts on “Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: May 5 Update”

  1. golack

    In raw numbers, FL leading the case count now, ca 4K/day though numbers falling, and leading in daily deaths too. The bump in cases in mid April is showing up in deaths now, though daily deaths have plateaued with deaths staying below 100/day on individual days.

    MI total number of cases still dropping, but near the top at ca. 3K/day. Deaths have plateaued and may be starting to drop--but reported cases bounce around from day to day--so have none, others are above 100.

    PA had mid April bump in cases, and deaths there have now plateaued and starting to fall. In NY and NJ, deaths are slowly declining, maybe will follow fall off in cases soon--we hope. TX and CA are big states--and numbers there reflect a relative low rate with big populations--though TX rates stubbornly higher than CA.

  2. rick_jones

    Rank Population (Millions) Country Deaths/Day/Million 7-dav Avg
    1 3.46 Uruguay 17.37
    2 2.08 North Macedonia 16.73
    3 9.68 Hungary 14.77
    4 7.04 Paraguay 12.21
    5 3.30 Bosnia and Herzegovina 11.77
    6 211.05 Brazil 10.98 *
    7 4.13 Croatia 10.86
    8 7.00 Bulgaria 10.10
    9 50.34 Colombia 9.34
    10 44.78 Argentina 9.31 *
    11 32.51 Peru 8.49
    ...
    24 83.43 Turkey 4.26
    25 60.55 Italy 4.13 *
    26 444.97 EU 3.97
    27 4.04 Moldova 3.96
    28 1.33 Estonia 3.77
    29 65.13 France 3.76 *
    30 1.91 Latvia 3.60
    31 17.37 Ecuador 3.59
    32 5.05 Costa Rica 3.51
    33 512.50 EU w/o Brexit 3.47
    34 6.86 Lebanon 3.46
    ...
    42 1.39 Trinidad and Tobago 2.66
    43 83.52 Germany 2.66 *
    44 1366.42 India 2.65
    ...
    47 145.87 Russia 2.42
    48 127.58 Mexico 2.34 *
    49 2.83 Qatar 2.22
    50 10.05 Azerbaijan 2.22
    51 4.21 Kuwait 2.17
    52 23.77 Sweden 2.15 *
    53 329.06 US 2.08 *
    54 11.51 Bolivia 2.01
    55 4.97 Oman 2.01
    56 46.74 Spain 1.90 *
    57 2.49 Namibia 1.66
    ...62 28.61 Nepal 1.32
    63 37.41 Canada 1.25 *
    64 2.95 Jamaica 1.16
    65 8.59 Switzerland 1.13 *
    66 9.45 Belarus 1.06
    ...99 29.16 Yemen 0.216
    100 67.53 United Kingdom 0.203 *
    101 2.13 Lesotho 0.202

    * Countries currently or formerly tracked by Kevin

    1. golack

      I must say, the UK certainly has fallen. And in South America, Paraguay and Uruguay certainly are showing up Brazil.

      Yeah, we really need to export vaccines....

  3. haddockbranzini

    Got my second dose of the Pfizer yesterday. Feel like I've got a whopping hangover today, which was expected based on everyone else I know who got it. Nice little collection of hives popping up as well. All in all, very good feeling though.

    1. HokieAnnie

      Yeah hangover, that's a good way of putting it though I ran a fever yesterday and today a bit, I got my second Pfizer shot on Tuesday.

  5. cld

    Covid death toll massively undercounted,

    https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/05/06/994287048/new-study-estimates-more-than-900-000-people-have-died-of-covid-19-in-u-s?t=1620332510960

    A new study estimates that the number of people who have died of COVID-19 in the U.S. is more than 900,000, a number 57% higher than official figures.

    Worldwide, the study's authors say, the COVID-19 death count is nearing 7 million, more than double the reported number of 3.24 million.

    The analysis comes from researchers at the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, who looked at excess mortality from March 2020 through May 3, 2021, compared it with what would be expected in a typical nonpandemic year, then adjusted those figures to account for a handful of other pandemic-related factors.
    . . .
    Researchers estimated dramatic undercounts in countries such as India, Mexico and Russia, where they said the official death counts are some 400,000 too low in each country. In some countries — including Japan, Egypt and several Central Asian nations — the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's death toll estimate is more than 10 times higher than reported totals.
    . . . .

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