Here is the suicide rate among teen girls age 15-19 going back to 1940. Values before 1968 are estimated from the age 15-24 suicide rate.
The suicide rate:
- Declined for 17 years after the Great Depression.
- Reached a low point in 1957.
- Rose for 31 years.
- Peaked in 1988.
- Declined for 14 years.
- Reached a low point in 2002.
- Rose again for the next 15 years.
- Peaked in 2017.
- Has been declining since then.
NOTE: Dotted line data (1940-1978) is in HIST290_4049, HIST290_5059, HIST290_6067, and HIST290_6878 here. Solid line data (1968-1978) is here. Solid line data (1979-1998) is in HIST002R_1 here. Solid line data (1999-2020) is from the CDC WONDER database.
A Classic Drum Trendline (aka linear) would then suggest an upward trend.
Given the update to go back to 1940, must remember to archive dot org early, archive dot org often…
I think the boys' rate declined across the 1990s and early 2000s as well.
The answer is clear - we must revive Grunge and Emo Punk music to save America's youth.
Just eyeballing the variations in the graph, I don't think the 2017-present decline means anything.
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