This morning the BEA released state GDP figures through Q4 of 2020, which gives us a good idea of which states have weathered the COVID-19 pandemic the best. Here are per-capita growth rates for the ten largest states:
And via the CDC, here's how those states are currently doing on the COVID front:
Here's a crude ranking that combines each state's rank in 2020 growth with its recent COVID-19 performance:
There are other ways of ranking the states, of course. For example, here's a ranking that uses cumulative cases (per 100,000) rather than recent cases:
Feel free to dig into the data and come up with your own ranking!
The only two states here that are trending up are Georgia and North Carolina.
What do those two states have in common?
I think it's Pennsylvania and Georgia ... match the colors, which admittedly are hard to do with a couple of them.
You're right! The line for North Carolina just vanishes in the mix.
But, then what do Pennsylvania and Georgia have in common?
People are always saying the middle part of Pennsylvania is basically northern Alabama, so maybe that?
They both voted for Trump.
No
Basically, it doesn't seem like there is much difference between states or any difference in outcomes that can be linked to party tilt or policy.
I anticipate a post over on PowerLine within the next day or two that will describe exactly the opposite.
This is bad news for the "look how great Florida is doing" cheerleaders. Florida has lots of Covid cases overall and recently and their economic growth is anemic.
Yeah, it would also be bad news for the "Cuomosexual" crowd, but they seem to be lying low at present.
DeSantis!
DeSantis so vain!
This is bad news for the "look how great Florida is doing" cheerleaders.
Not really. These people never bother with evidence. It's certainly not something that a little cherry-picking can't solve.
I thought the uptick was Michigan?
Looks to my eyes like Michigan and Pennsylvania.