Skip to content

Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 29 Update

Published on 12 Comments on Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 29 Update

Here’s the officially reported coronavirus death toll through April 29. The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.

12 thoughts on “Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 29 Update”

  1. rick_jones

    Unsurprising of course, but at this point India has been moving up in the charts as it were:

    Rank Population (Millions) Country Deaths/Day/Million (7day avg)
    1 9.68 Hungary 20.02
    2 3.46 Uruguay 16.63
    3 7.00 Bulgaria 15.31
    4 2.08 North Macedonia 15.29
    5 3.30 Bosnia and Herzegovina 15.06
    6 7.04 Paraguay 13.57
    7 211.05 Brazil 11.97 *
    8 37.89 Poland 10.95
    9 4.13 Croatia 10.45
    10 32.51 Peru 9.39
    11 44.78 Argentina 9.21 *
    12 50.34 Colombia 9.09
    ...
    20 18.95 Chile 5.39
    21 60.55 Italy 5.16 *
    22 82.91 Iran 5.14
    23 2.76 Lithuania 5.07
    24 444.97 EU 4.85
    25 17.37 Ecuador 4.83
    26 10.10 Jordan 4.62
    27 65.13 France 4.52 *
    28 4.04 Moldova 4.49
    29 512.50 EU w/o Brexit 4.25
    30 83.43 Turkey 4.12
    ...
    39 10.05 Azerbaijan 3.07
    40 83.52 Germany 2.84 *
    41 1.91 Latvia 2.77
    42 127.58 Mexico 2.63 *
    43 5.05 Costa Rica 2.60
    44 145.87 Russia 2.52
    45 8.96 Austria 2.44
    46 1366.42 India 2.24 <==
    47 1.64 Bahrain 2.18
    ...
    50 4.21 Kuwait 2.07
    51 329.06 US 2.04 *
    52 11.51 Bolivia 2.01
    53 4.97 Oman 1.95
    54 6.78 Libya 1.83
    55 46.74 Spain 1.79 *
    56 23.77 Sweden 1.71 *
    57 1.81 Kosovo 1.50
    58 1.18 Cyprus 1.45
    59 37.41 Canada 1.36 *
    60 2.30 Botswana 1.30
    ...
    64 17.10 Netherlands 1.22
    65 8.59 Switzerland 1.16 *
    66 39.31 Iraq 1.11
    ...
    91 31.95 Malaysia 0.380
    92 67.53 United Kingdom 0.343 *

    India and Brazil have had (very) roughly the same number of deaths per day of late. You can see then what a difference normalizing to population makes.

      1. MontyTheClipArtMongoose

        Difference is they are closing the barndoor before the horse departs.

        Also, I am sure having an Indo-American VP to bounce this idea off first is helping to reduce friction with our counterparts in Delhi.

  2. Jasper_in_Boston

    So, despite a massive improvement over the last three + months, people are dying in the United States at fully six times the rate they are in the United Kingdom, the latter of which had, what, a ten day head start over the US in starting its vaccination program?

    I'm happy things have gotten better in America, but I gotta say I'm uneasy at the slowdown in the decline of covid mortality, and disappointed at how much more slowly we've brought down covid deaths than Britain has.

    1. George Salt

      I looked at UK vaccinations rates here:

      https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations

      It looks like about 64% of the adult population has gotten at least one dose, compared to about 55% of adults in the US. That doesn't seem like a big difference.

      Perhaps there are other factors in play. The UK has been much more aggressive about lockdowns: England started their third national lockdown on January 6. I think there has been considerably less resistance to lockdowns in the UK compared to the US.

    2. ey81

      The UK has had (i) a much more aggressive lockdown, which saves lives, but at a perceptible economic cost, and (ii) a first doses first policy, which is clearly more intelligent and effective than the US policy, which, as is typical in US medical regulation, makes the perfect the enemy of the good.

      1. ey81

        More generally, Brexit is looking like the wisest political decision made in any Western country since the Marshall Plan.

        1. Jasper_in_Boston

          As has been pointed out numerous times, Brexit would not have prevented the UK from going its own way on covid; in general, the various EU states have followed their own strategies.

          1. MontyTheClipArtMongoose

            In this Newcastle pub, coronavirus is what Phillip II tried to inflict on the Britons. But they do know this: decades of infrastructure employment for Polish plumbers & Czech electricians created the petri dish for a foreign ailment to take root in Albion.

      2. Jasper_in_Boston

        The UK has benefited from A) the small head start B) first jab prioritization C) additional lockdowns (and overall stronger social distancing?) D) perhaps greater coronavirus endemicity?

        The UK/USA gap in covid mortality reduction is nonetheless bigger than I would have expected (for starters, by now you'd think America's lead in fully vaccinating the population -- the US is ahead of Britain on that score -- might have started to pay dividends).

  3. golack

    MI is leading in number of new cases/day/100K, but has been falling, so it no longer leads in total number of new cases/day. FL took that over a little while ago (5-6K). MI back in the pack with NY and TX (4K). Next grouping: IL, PA and CO (3K).

    MI still leading in number of deaths.

    AZ drifted above 10 new cases/day/100K; FL drifted below 25; PR dropped below 25 like a rock (that's a good thing).

    Vaccinations: 9 states >50%; 7 states <35% (first shot)

Comments are closed.