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Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: July 11 Update

Published on 5 Comments on Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: July 11 Update

Here’s the officially reported coronavirus death toll through July 11. The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.

5 thoughts on “Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: July 11 Update”

  1. golack

    ....and the beat goes on...
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOaxEa5ONJw

    Vaccinations (adults, first dose) up to 67.6%, so we're down to less than 0.1 percentage points increases per day. Pockets of un-vaccinated will keep Covid spreading....not as bad (state or nationally) as before with no vaccines, but can be severe locally. Younger people being hit this time--new variant and most elderly vaccinated (88.7% in 65 or older cohort).

      1. jte21

        Younger people aren't hospitalized and don't die at nearly the rate of the older, unvaccinated population last year. The problem with Covid spreading through the younger population is not that a bunch more people will die, although some will -- it's that it provides ever more chances for the virus to mutate into a form that will eventually overcome the existing vaccines. Right now, it appears that the current vaccines are pretty effective at preventing serious illness even with the delta variant, but that's not going to last forever. The only solution is going to be reaching herd immunity with vaccines before it's too late. But it may already be too late.

        1. rational thought

          Really the vaccination issue and possible mutations is not that huge an issue for the usa cases. With current levels of natural immunity and vaccinations, there will not be all that many infected to create a huge reservoir of possible mutations.

          The bigger concern is less developed nations that have less natural immunity and way less vaccinations and overall much higher population. More scope there for mutations.

          If you are worried about mutations, better to not focus on trying to convince the remaining resistors here to get vaccinated. But get more vaccine to third world countries where they still have people begging for it with no supply.

          And I also maybe am less frightened of this. For one the coronavirus structure limits mutations more than viruses like the flu. The covid virus has already mutated more than expected so maybe it has gone about as far as it can already. Assuming all mutations are natural. If some lab is cooking up mutations and releasing we are screwed regardless.
          Plus the mnra vaccines can be developed very quickly. They had the first ones ready in january 2020 ( and why the hell was fauci expressing scepticism of getting a vaccine in a year if he knew that). With a new mutation, hopefully our experience and testing phase can be streamlined and we can beat the virus by a new booster before it can spread.

          Assuming we can convince enough to get thr booster shot..sigh!

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