Italy continues to see a surge in deaths, and there are worrisome plateaus almost everywhere else, including the US. This is an immense tragedy. We were so close.
Here’s the officially reported coronavirus death toll through March 27. The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.
Remains to be seen how: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/28/mexico-covid-death-toll-rise-60-percent will be reflected in the John’s Hopkins figures.
Texas has the answer: Let ‘er rip! https://www.foxnews.com/us/texas-covid-numbers-decrease-17-days-after-mask-other-restrictions-lifted
You would think that the alleged journalists at Fox would be smarter than to immediately tout these statistics, knowing how quickly things can change. I guess they count on their audience having the memory of guppies.
Then again, how much of the decline is due to the prudent among the population hunkering down? And how much to fewer visitors? Austin has already reported cancellation of several conventions, with the Hilton alone losing $350,000 in bookings.
Post hoc ergo propter hoc.
I want to test this theory by coughing on Gov. Wheels, & seeing if the Texas Rangers don't shoot me.
Wouldn’t be a fair test. If you’re black, Mexican, Native American, or a commie Jew lawyer, the Texas Ranger will shoot you anyway. Because that’s what they do.
But a cappie jew is fine. They invented it you know??
Isn't the Hilton one of the chains that allows porn on its teevees & wifi?
The cancellations are exemplary of the good, original cancel culture: the Divine smiting the fornicators & others who befell off the narrow path of righteousness.
I bet the pornfree Marriott locations in Austin are still making good on bookings.
Weekly change in confirmed covid cases, Texas
Feb 28–Mar 6: -3.5%
Mar 7–13: -4.3%
Mar 14–20: -2.0%
Mar 21–27: -0.2%
We'll have to see where it goes from here. Texas may have timed this better than other states. As more people get vaccinated every week, they might still get away without a major resurgence.
I hope so. The seasonality thing is hitting the Northeast again--"when will we ever learn"
Note: the TX panhandle is not doing so well, though the NM and OK neighbors are doing, well, ok.
When cases are dropping fast, what will you do??? The end of heating is the key.
“We were so close.” Were we? Last late spring, when rays of hope were shining in Europe, you were toting getting to 1 or 0.5 as having things under control. Yet we (the US) are in the low threes... and the European countries which did get that low have seen resurgence.
You’d almost think Mother Nature is really Alexandra Forrest...
Now, now, "under control" does not mean it won't get out of control. It just means restrictions can be relaxed, and if a surge does start, there will be time to implement more restrictions before it gets out of control. Of course, re-implementing restrictions doesn't seem to work well until things are out of control.
With the current situation, keeping restrictions in place in the US for a couple more weeks, while vaccinations were ramping up, could have made a world of difference. And if we went with opening grade schools before opening bars, we'd be in much better shape too.
Flare.
Restrict.
Decline.
Reopen.
Lather.
Rinse.
Repeat.
Collective Groundhog Day. The appeal is easily lost...
Would love to see a breakdown of deaths by people who have had the vaccine (any of them) and those who have not.
Tag team: VT dropped out, NH stepped up (25+ new cases/day/100K). And DE is back in the ring too. MN still iching to get in (next day or two). NJ still staying ahead of MI, but that won't last--MI rate of infection at 1.3 vs 1.1 for NJ.
At the other end, 10 new cases/day/100K or less, no big changes.
see: https://covidactnow.org/
Look at the US map, county view to see hot spots. It would be great if that did a video of that map changing over time.
Unmasking is the ultimate Minnesota Nicety.
Reuters' Vaccination tracking: https://bityl.co/6AR0
Reuters' COVID-19 tracking: https://bityl.co/6AR3
Brazil is a total public health disaster. Many European countries started their second/third wave at the start of February and haven't stopped.
If Trump had won, I think there would be significant pressure to open up and America would have entered its third wave in February as well.
But would Republicans have been more willing to take the vaccine and would that help? It's pretty easy to imagine Trump pushing the vaccine hard to take maximum credit for Operation Warp Speed and to speed opening up. Would more Democrats be vaccine skeptics in response?
It is an interesting counterfactual.
Since vaccine deployment has mainly been constrained by supply, vaccine hesistency (on either side) hasn't been a major factor to date. Many States are only going to make the vaccine avaible to anyone who wants one next month or in May, and it's only after that we will see what effect the vaccine holdouts have on transmission.
Republicans are very willing to take the vaccine......many Democrats, no.
Nonsense/BS reply, of course (what else can you be counted on for?).
Polling data shows the highest number of people stating they do not plan to take the vaccine were Republicans. Hey, if you think Covid is fake news, you gotta stick with the story.
The U.S. Has already opened up. Your point is irrelevant
London has just had a day with no reported covid deaths at all. Noisy and anecdatal, but still more than nice.
Thanks Scott Atlas. Months of flirting with “herd immunity” gave the virus the chance to mutate to something more infectious.