How are Democrats doing at the moment? Here are three takes on the generic congressional ballot during the last week of August:
Morning Consult has Democrats ahead by four points. The two aggregators have it at about a tie. All three show Democrats doing about four points better than a couple of months ago.
Conventional wisdom says that congressional balloting is so skewed these days that Democrats need to be winning the generic ballot by 6-7 points before they have a chance of winning the House. So we're still not there yet. But at least we're making progress.
It's way too early and the polling has become way too convoluted
Lying has become a sport to most people
‘Registered voters’? When do we see ‘Likely voters’?
Actually I think ‘likely’ is going to be overestimated this cycle. The GOP civil war keeps heating up. TFG throwing own feces.
RCP morphed into a partisan pollster's paradise outlet after 2016. Haven't looked at their site in years.
Here's why this is bad news fo joebiden.
6-7 points for a wave. Biden did +4 over Trump and dems still won the House. As the ignorant go rep and educated go dem, more and more dem voters will come out in off years
That's fine for the presidential election, but how did the House vote break down in 2018 and 2020?
+8 in 2018
+3 in 2020