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Is a tidal wave of evictions about to hit American families?

The Washington Post reports that about 160,000 families received rental assistance in May:

Experts say those numbers pale in comparison to the number of people who risk losing their homes when the CDC eviction moratorium expires after July 31. According to the Census Household Pulse Survey from June, 1.2 million households reported being very likely to face eviction in the next two months. “With the federal eviction moratorium set to expire in four weeks, these data are a five-alarm fire,” said Diane Yentel, president and chief executive of the National Low Income Housing Coalition.

The Household Pulse Survey is released every two weeks, so it's easy to look at the trend over time of those fearing eviction:

It's a tragedy when even a single family gets evicted, but the most recent figure of 1.2 million households fearing eviction is actually close to a low point over the past year. That strikes me as useful context here.

14 thoughts on “Is a tidal wave of evictions about to hit American families?

  1. Special Newb

    It doesn't strike me that way at all.

    How about a comparison to 2019, or do we have data on where these are concentrated to see if the evictions will be in the coronavirus fest in the south?

    Saying it's less than in the past year seems not very useful.

    1. jte21

      Yes, it's compared to pre-Covid that matters, not six months ago. I hope Kevin adjusts his chart accordingly. Evictions are going to hit hardest where there are large concentrations of working-class renters who lost work due to Covid -- that would be places like NYC and LA. Unfortunately, those are also the same populations that are hardest to get financial relief to, whether it's due to limited English, immigration status, no internet connection, etc.

      1. jakejjj

        Typical "progressive" -- tax citizens to support illegals. And you wonder why you are not trusted in the country you hate, and are so avidly working to destroy.

  2. Justin

    So…why is the media hyping yet another silly story about life out here in the real world? I’m tempted to call it fake news but that’s probably too harsh. We lefty folks are told these stories of terrible suffering every day. We wring our hands and develop some fantasy policy solution then argue about it for years. Rinse repeat. It’s starting to seem like a media scam. Hysteria for clicks and profit.

      1. Justin

        If you have been selected to participate in the Household Pulse Survey, you will receive an email from COVID.survey@census.gov or a text message from 39242* (message and data rates may apply) with a link to complete the survey. If we have not received a response from you, you may receive up to 3 follow-up reminders.

        Only those whose addresses have been selected to participate can complete the survey. A limited number of addresses across the country have been invited to answer the Household Pulse Survey.

        Yep… meaningless data.

  3. cmayo

    "the most recent figure of 1.2 million households fearing eviction is actually close to a low point over the past year. That strikes me as useful context here."

    I'm sorry, WHAT?

    It's only "useful context" if you compare to before the eviction moratoriums took effect, before COVID. That's it. Without that context, saying "this number is actually the lowest it's been for a year" is insultingly meaningless. It's entirely reasonable to expect that this number spiked as soon as shutdowns began in March 2020, and that the number for normal times (which would be our comparison point for evictions) is much lower.

    And unfortunately, those are numbers we just don't have because this particular question on the HPS wasn't asked until "Phase 2", which began in August 2020.

    1. Bobber

      Kevin's graph shows how many people are worried they might be evicted, not how many of them actually were.

  4. azumbrunn

    It is a low point. But only barely. The curve is essentially horizontal. I guess 1.2 million evictions are better than 1.3 million. I would not brag about it nonetheless

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