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Raw Data: Medicaid Spending Over Time

Medicaid is the federal government's single biggest social welfare program aimed at helping the poor. It has grown steadily since its founding, aside from a brief growth spurt after Obamacare was passed, and currently serves about 70 million people representing more than 20% of the total US population:

The cost of Medicaid grew rapidly through the '80s and '90s thanks to the high growth rate of medical costs in general. However, its cost has mostly flattened out over the past couple of decades:

Medicaid is financed jointly by the federal government and by state governments. Last year, total spending on Medicaid amounted to $650 billion, of which one-third was paid by the states and two-thirds by the federal government.

Data through 2017 comes from the 2018 CMS actuarial report here. Data from 2018-2020 was extrapolated from growth rates reported by the Kaiser Family Foundation here.

13 thoughts on “Raw Data: Medicaid Spending Over Time

  1. bbleh

    All power to Medicaid! The Great Society medical programs are without a doubt a few of the greatest advances of US civilization in the 20th century.

    1. bbleh

      An estimated 58 million individuals (18.1% of the U.S. population) were enrolled in Medicare in 2019. The programaccounted for $799 billion (22.2% of overall HCE).

      Anestimated64million individuals (19.8%oftheU.S. population) received Medicaid or CHIP in 2019, and the programs accounted for $633 billion (17.6% of overall HCE).

      https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/IF10830.pdf

      1. gibba-mang

        A big driver of Medicaid is Long Term Care especially with an aging population. Most states have done a good job "rebalancing" LTC costs by keeping people in the community versus nursing facility care.

  2. quakerinabasement

    Is the expenditure by enrollee adjusted for CPI inflation or medical inflation? We know that in some years, medical costs rose more rapidly than consumer costs. I guess my question is, are we buying more medical services per enrollee or do the same services just cost more?

  3. Justin

    This is what democratic administrations need to do... simply improve upon the management of existing social welfare programs. There is little else that can be accomplished when half of the states are run by criminals and gangsters (aka republicans).

    1. MontyTheClipArtMongoose

      All of whom -- the criminals & gangsters -- are, in the end, on the same payroll as you are.

  4. rick_jones

    Data from 2018-2020 was extrapolated from growth rates reported by the Kaiser Family Foundation here.

    Being an extrapolation that should be a dashed line to set it apart from the rest.

  5. rick_jones

    And in the vein of extrapolation, taking Kevin’s 70 million people at $650 billion that comes-in at a little over $3 trillion a year for 331 million people.

    1. aldoushickman

      Particularly if you assume that the people not covered by Medicaid have the exact same medical needs as the non-Medicaid population. Considering that most Medicaid funds go to coverage of disabled people and elderly people, that's probably not a good assumption.

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