According to Datalytics, here's how things look on the homicide front so far in 2023:
Down 10% so far! And that's on top of last year's 5% decline. This isn't enough to make up for the 30% increase during the pandemic, but we're getting there.
9 thoughts on “Raw data: Murders are down 10% so far in 2023”
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Shows you what happens when the soft on crime Democrats are in charge!
As you point out, murder numbers are low (though far to high) and spiky.
At least not city have more than 100 murders yet....last year Chicago and Philadelphia had more than 100 but this date.
San Jose: We're number 1!
Why hasn't the crew here bitched that he should have used murder per 100000 in the graph? Does he hate San Joes Nose????
I’ll instead “bitch” about the drop actually being 9.8% 🙂 (9.786…)
Murder is almost always going to be a political challenge.
Unless a politician can claim a huge drop in murder, say 40%, then bragging about the murder rate can sound very tin eared. Further, even with a large drop in murder, the opponent can parade out the sympathetic crushed by the murder of a friend or family member.
I suspect that when one sees integral multiples of 100% as deltas one is talking about small numbers in the absolute. So, very noisy.
I guess black lives are starting to matter again... a little.
If the increase was 30%, what should be the decrease to get back to the same level? We had a 5% decrease then a 10% decrease. Who says: we need another 15%?
The correct answer is: another 10% only.
When I was in school, we called this the Mexican freeway problem. Now, that would be un-woke to call out on a specific country, and you don't have to go abroad to find boondoggle infrastructure problems (hi, CA high speed rail!). But it went like this: officials at the ministry of transportation announce a plan to add an extra lane to a 2 lane highway, therefore resulting in a 50% increase in capacity, from 2 to 3 lanes. But the funds never materialize, so the project is cut back down to 2 lanes. That's a reduction of 33% of capacity, from 3 lanes to 2. Therefore resulting in a net gain of, let us do the maths, 50% increase minus 33% decrease = 17% net gain, and all that at no cost to the tax payers!