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Raw data: Opioid deaths in America

This is extraordinary:

Here are the basic stats:

  • Among all Americans, 4.5% of deaths are due to opioid overdoses, mostly fentanyl
  • Among the youngish middle-aged (20-39), 21% of all deaths are due to opioids.
  • Among men in this age group, 30% of all deaths are due to opioids.

Now, part of the reason the percentage is so high among the youngish is that not many people of that age die in the first place. The basic mortality rate is only 0.25%, so that 21% death rate from opioids amounts to only 0.05% of the population.

But that's still 21% of all deaths in that age group and that's still a remarkable number.

9 thoughts on “Raw data: Opioid deaths in America

  1. lou3fd9085df22d

    Hi Kevin. I looked at the preprint because that number just seemed unbelievable, and that conclusion is in fact wrong. It's actually "4.5% of American deaths (!) between the ages of 15-74(!) are due to opioids"

    I'm really annoyed, as the actual data is amazingly bad and worth trumpeting, but this was absurdly manipulative. The actual number is (I believe) around 2.1% of Americans. That's still really bad! Why mislead so badly?

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  3. golack

    Is the war on drugs about arresting people you don't like or about getting drugs off the street. To do the latter, you need to beef up the IRS and Treasury agents to go after the money. But that could upset rich people trying to hide income overseas. You could have ICE go after immigrants heavily involved in crime and gang activity--along with FBI, etc. But that can be very dangerous when you could just pick someone up while they're in court to testify about a crime to meet your quota. You'll need to stop the export of guns that keep the cartels in charge in parts of the world--but that might hurt gun sales. Heck, even more postal inspectors would help.
    What we do, locking up young people on felony charges, unless they're wealthy enough to go to rehab, only serves to disenfranchise those kids. And a criminal record early on might only leave a "life a crime" as their only viable option. On the plus side, if people are afraid of drug gangs, they're more likely to buy a gun!

  4. Justin

    It’s not safe to party anymore. Glad I’m old.

    Anyway… it seems intentional. Poison the drug supply and let the chips fall.

    1. name99

      Compare that to 48,830 gun related deaths.
      Yet one of these gets fifty times the media attention than the other.
      And you already see the drug excuses in this thread, the leftie/libertarian equivalent of "drugs don't kill people; people kill people"...

      Remember these numbers every time someone brings up guns. Some people, sure, care about every death anywhere. But most care PRIMARILY about their tribal issue. Which do you want to be? A rationalist or a tribalist?

  5. Crissa

    I wonder how much of it is because of other drugs being replaced by fentanyl? It's small, cheap, powerful and if your pills or powder is unlabeled, how do you know it's the MDMA or psilocybin you ordered? Or in the right dose if you actually wanted an opioid?

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