Skip to content

Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 10 Update

Published on 7 Comments on Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 10 Update

Here’s the officially reported coronavirus death toll through April 10. The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.

7 thoughts on “Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 10 Update”

    1. golack

      yowzers....

      We really do have to get everyone everywhere vaccinated.
      Though we are not going to vaccinate our way out of surges. NJ has 40%+ first vaccine, and cases, though still high, are falling. NH has 48%_ first dose, and cases are still going up. Masking up and social distancing works, and can have an immediate effect--though it will take a couple of weeks to show up in the numbers. Vaccines will take 2 weeks to be effective, then another two weeks to affect the numbers.

  2. golack

    IL has fallen...
    (more than 25 new cases/day/100k)

    for total number of new cases per day:
    MI has caught up with NY and they running neck and neck (8K)
    FL nipping at their heels (7K)
    PA looking for an opening (4k)
    IL moving up, passing by a lagging NJ (3.5K)
    CA has eased up a bit more then TX (3K)
    MN has caught up with MA (2.5K)

    AZ and MO got out of the pool (<10 new cases/day/100k)

    Movers and shakers:
    PR, MI and OR going up
    AL, MS, AR still dropping (slowly)

  3. Jerry O'Brien

    A couple weeks ago I couldn't spot any decline in deaths per confirmed case, which we hoped to see as a result of vaccination of high-risk groups. Now I can.

    My method is to compare a week's total deaths with the corresponding week of case numbers at a 21-day lag.

    United States, March 31 week's deaths/March 10 week's cases = 1.7%
    United States, April 10 week's deaths/March 20 week's cases = 1.4%

    I looked at a couple states in particular:

    Illinois, March 31 deaths/March 10 cases = 1.5%
    Illinois, April 10 deaths/March 20 cases = 1.1%

    Michigan, March 31 deaths/March 10 cases = 1.44%
    Michigan, April 10 deaths/March 20 cases = 1.45%

    Michigan is bucking the trend, and I don't know what might be causing that.

  4. D_Ohrk_E1

    Have you paid attention to the CDC's SARS-CoV-2 variant tracker? https://bityl.co/6LKL

    It's a month behind. Worth noting how 39% of Michigan's tested samples were B.1.1.7, and TN and FL aren't too far behind at 35% and 34.5%, respectively. Begs the question why TN and FL aren't seeing surges in reported infections. Might be time to do widespread serology testing; there might be hidden surges in these states.

    1. MontyTheClipArtMongoose

      Pres. De Santis (2025 - ?) will never allow review of his kitchen-curated ledger for Florida COVID stats.

Comments are closed.