Here are the latest swing state results from Emerson College Polling:
It's close to a dead heat in the battleground states. Aside from Arizona, Kamala Harris is either ahead or within 1% in every state.
Fingers crossed.
12 thoughts on “Kamala Harris has tightened the race in every swing state”
Comments are closed.
FWIW, 538 has her ahead -- in some cases significantly (like 2-3 points) in other cases barely (like 0.5 point or less) in SIX out of SEVEN swing states, and it's been this way (or 5 of 7) for a week now.
Also FWIW, Cloudflare still not allowing login using Safari on Mac. Anybody else have this problem? Usual fixes (clear cache, disable ad-blockers) don't work.
Out of curiosity, I just tried it on iOS Safari without any problem. (I have a Mac laptop somewhere, I just don't remember exactly where....)
Do you see the "checking if you're a human" page?
I'm typing this in Safari on a Mac, so it's not universal. Are you on the latest version and release? I am.
In a sane world this election between the these two candidates would not be this close. Trump is a deeply flawed human being with no redeeming qualities whatsoever.
Ah, but you are forgetting that Harris smiles and laughs sometimes and that is something something unpresidential. True presidents express themselves with combovers and orange makeup, not by letting people see their teeth/weakness.
It's a funny thing about that...the Republican PARTY icon (rather than the MAGA icon) remains Ronald Reagan. He smiled and laughed a lot, generally presented a relaxed affect and a friendly demeanor. Pretty much the exact opposite of Mr. Maga. And 40 years later, he's still a big reason a lot of the middle aged (and older) Republicans cling to their party affiliation in spite of their distaste with Mr. Maga.
In a sane world he never would have been elected in 2016.
It was different in 2016. It wasn't really known how Trump would function as president. Many of us thought (hoped) that he would be transformed by the awesome weight of the position and become "Presidential." Now, of course, there's no excuse. We've all seen how he behaved in that office.
Following up on the comment from bbleh (about the polling, not Cloudfare):
I had the same thought about the comparison to 538.com. Also, electoral-vote.com, which uses a much less sophisticated algorithm -- but who is to say it's not as good? -- today has Harris ahead in all swing states except North Carolina and (strangely) Pennsylvania.
Ruben Gallego is ahead of Kari Lake by 7 points, but OTOH Trump is -6 with independent voters, +2 with women, +6 with men, and +3 overall.
Why?
I believe Emerson (and Suffolk, which has Harris up 5 nationally) restrict their responses to “likely voters”, that is, a light turnout. A good turnout and Harris will win by more than these polls show.
Also: “ WASHINGTON, Aug 29 (Reuters) - Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 45% to 41% in a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Thursday that showed the vice president sparking new enthusiasm among voters and shaking up the race ahead of the Nov. 5 election.
The 4 percentage point advantage among registered voters was wider than a 1 point lead Harris held over the former president in a late July Reuters/Ipsos poll. The new poll, which was conducted in the eight days ended Wednesday and had a 2 percentage point margin of error, showed Harris picking up support among women and Hispanics.” …..
Summary
Harris leads Trump by 13 points among women and Hispanic voters
Trump leads among white voters and men
73% of Democratic voters more excited after Harris entered race
….
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-widens-lead-over-trump-with-boost-women-hispanics-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-08-29/
…
Yeah yeah yeah Harris will keep up the work like we’re underdogs theme But *I* choose to be optimistic that my $20 donations will put her over the top.