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23 thoughts on “Truth Social stock is suddenly on fire

  1. Brett

    I'd be interested to know if it's being driven by small amounts purchased by large numbers of buyers, or if a handful of large buyers has driven the traffic. It's a good way to bribe Trump, and some folks did something similar on the electoral prediction markets recently - 3-4 "whales" made huge pro-Trump bets and skewed it towards him despite no change in the polls.

    1. Doctor Jay

      Yeah. If you ask yourself whether Trump supporters would lie, and would spend money on lies to support Trump's chances, what do you answer?

      "Flood the zone with shit"

  2. Josef

    It was getting dangerously close to being under $12.00, if I remember correctly wasn't it the threshold in which he couldn't sell his stock? It's being propped up by someone or some group till the day after the election. If I were a betting man, I'd say come win or lose, the day after the election will be the day he sells. Or soon thereafter.

  3. fentex

    Probably just an artifact of someone wagering on his winning the election, effecting the price surprisingly only because it is so worthless.

  4. D_Ohrk_E1

    It's a proxy for people who are betting that Trump is going to win the election.

    Slightly OT: The Federalist commissioned a poll from Susquehanna, published Oct. 13, 2022 -- almost exactly 2 years ago. What to make of the results?

    48% Biden
    44% Trump

    54% Harris
    39% Trump

  5. zic

    Probably the RNC began purchasing shares to drive the price up before Trump unloads his shares.

    He can't hold them past the election, they'll tank in value, so he's got to sell enough to make profit.

      1. zic

        Yes, I guess the RNC is just paying Trump's legal Bills and the PACs are purchasing the stock.

        But here's the kick: there are no breaks in the system to prevent this.

  6. FrankM

    It's not just the price but the volume. Up until this week a typical day would see 8-10 million shares traded. This week saw 190 million shares traded in 5 days. The short interest has been dropping, so some of this may be short traders cashing in their winnings. There have been no insider trades reported in the last couple of weeks, but there's typically a lag between when the trades happen and when the SEC notice becomes public. United Atlantic Ventures has been unloading stock (~11 million shares), but that was in September. So lots of sellers, but there also have to be buyers. It's a meme stock, so the usual rules don't apply.

    While many have suggested that this is a way to funnel money to Trump, I'm skeptical of how this could work. Even at these volumes, he'd have a hard time selling very much without cratering the price, so it's just paper assets.

    1. zic

      You forget there is a black-box in the mix: the PACs, who can take unlimited contributions and can legally also purchase the stock as in investment to fund their activities.

      1. PaulDavisThe1st

        Doesn't matter who buys in terms of moving cash towards Trump: unless he sells, he has nothing but paper assets.

        Which, as was noted above, he could borrow against.

        1. jte21

          I was going to ask, "who the hell would lend anyone money with a stupid meme stock as collateral?" and then of course it hit me: like all the other shit, someone looking to launder campaign contributions.

  7. pjcamp1905

    Nothing. But in 1869 it was Black Friday when gold prices collapsed because Grant ordered the sale of enormous amounts of government gold as part of a plot to help Jay Gould and James Fisk control the market. In 1960, the U.S.S. Enterprise, the world's first nuclear aircraft carrier, was launched. In 2005, Texas was walloped by Hurricane Rita, the most intense hurricane ever recorded in the gulf. And just last year, OSIRIS-REx landed with its load of asteroid samples.

    What more do you want September 24 to do? Manage Trump people? Ask Halloween. It needs something to do other than conducting a rumble once a year.

  8. ruralhobo

    Maybe what happened on Sept 24 was some people bought stock for whatever reason (e.g. that the price was low for a stock that might skyrocket if Trump wins the election and MBS to buy him buys lots of shares). Then other people thought "it's going up, quick me too" (or at least, "I'm not selling while it's going up".)

    Could also be a way to help Trump win, by making him look like a successful businessman. But I think it looks more like sheeple behavior.

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