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3 thoughts on “Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: May 29 Update

  1. golack

    Looking at the states with higher cases loads, which now means between 10 to 13.9 new cases/day/100K--so not bad:
    CO--had a short spike up, relatively small, and is now back on downward trend
    WA--had a sharp drop in cases, numbers jumped back up, and now back on downward trend
    WY--had a bump up that looks like a step function--and that is done for cases with numbers now holding ca. 12 new cases/day/100K.
    FL--numbers still dropping
    RI--just dropped below 10 again.

    Hotspots at CovidActNow: three areas above 25 new cases/day/100K; all have vaccination levels below 40%, and cases are rising in two locations.

  2. Jerry O'Brien

    My prediction from May 9th was not quite accurate: "The United States will be at close to 1 death per million per day in three weeks' time. The kind of number we haven't seen since March of 2020."

    For the first statement, I meant the United States' covid daily death rate would be closer to 1 per million than to 2, but it's not under 1.5 yet, even after discounting some backlog reports from Maryland, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Wisconsin.

    The second part was true, though. The death rate hasn't been this low since March 2020.

    1. golack

      No worries...The drop in cases/hospitalizations/deaths always seems to tail off earlier than one hopes. If officials imposed mask mandates a week or two earlier or drop them a week or two later, we'd be much better off. And, perhaps counter-intuitively, we'd be under mask mandates for a shorter period of time.

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